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Title IMPACT OF EVOLVING DOCTRINES ON CONFLICT TRANSFORMATION BETWEEN INDIA AND PAKISTAN

Author(s) Muhammad Saeed Uzzaman

Abstract Abstract This thesis analyzes the impact of military doctrines on the conflict transformation between India and Pakistan through the prism of the stability-instability paradox and coercive spectrum. The nuclear weapons development and subsequent cross-border terrorism/proxies guided the two states to introduce offensive military doctrines which in turn led to conflict transformation by increasing military interaction while decreasing the level of violence. The primary questions addressed in the study are why has Indo-Pakistan reliance on offensive military doctrines increased after the development of nuclear weapon programs? How have evolving military doctrines led to conflict transformation between India and Pakistan? Case study design with mixed method and deductive reasoning are used in the thesis. Both the primary and secondary sources of data are used while adhering to in-depth interviews and document analysis techniques. The study finds that India and Pakistan fought large-scale wars employing brute force in the prenuclear era while both states employed coercive strategies such as compellence and deterrence to fight a low-intensity conflict (LIC) in line with the logic of stability-instability paradox in the post nuclear era. The study further finds that there is a significant transformation in the conflict where large-scale wars might not be possible due to Mutual Assured Destruction but offensive military doctrines have made the surgical strikes as a renewed pattern of bilateral likely engagement. The introduction of offensive military doctrines has reduced the intensity of violence and increased space for military operations with serious accidental and escalation risks attached. Thus, a new mechanism is offered to transform the two states’ offensive doctrines into defensive mode for regional strategic stability. Key Words: Military Doctrine, Conflict Transformation, Nuclear Weapons, Terrorism, Crisis

Type Thesis/Dissertation PhD

Faculty Social Sciences

Department International Relations

Language English

Publication Date 2024-05-13

Subject International Relations

Publisher NA

Contributor(s) NA

Format Chicago 16th Edition

Identifier NA

Source NA

Relation NA

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Rights NA

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Description